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Recovered Cases Prediction Covid19 India

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๐Ÿ’š Recovered Cases Prediction Covid19 India

21st August 2020 to 9th September 2020 Prediction

Dateโšก Predicted๐Ÿ’š Actual๐Ÿ™‹ Error %
Apr 26 20205775851.38
May 17 202036795335588.7

Range of data : 14-03-2020 to 20-08-2020


Model used : SARIMAX (Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) with order - [14,1,0]

SARIMAX

Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average, SARIMAX or Seasonal ARIMA, is an extension of ARIMA that explicitly supports univariate time series data with a seasonal component.

It adds three new hyperparameters to specify the autoregression (AR), differencing (I) and moving average (MA) for the seasonal component of the series, as well as an additional parameter for the period of the seasonality.